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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Macará 48.9%
Draw 28.4%
Barcelona Guayaquil 22.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.9%
28.7%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
28%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3.
Macará arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Barcelona have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this matchup, Macará is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Macará has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:27 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Macará against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:7 goals (averaging 0.8:0.7 per game).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Macara
34
19
6
9
47:35
12
63
6
Barcelona SC
33
12
12
9
38:28
10
48
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Macará - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.92%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.