Match Info

Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 4

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ecuador	16:30	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	16:30	Zapping Sports


	LDU Quito		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.00
	1.56	3.95	5.50	Watch
	1.61	3.94	5.82
	1.58	3.93	5.6	Watch
	1.56	3.85	5.65
	1.58	3.91	5.54	Watch
	1.55	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.71)	3.86 ↑ (3.64)	5.5 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
59.2%

Draw
24%

Deportivo Macará
16.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25.7%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

26.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valle G. (G) 4. Ade R. (C) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 67. Carabali J. 57. Weigandt M. 20. Cornejo F. 8. Pretell J. 23. Quinonez Y. 10. Alvarado A. 77. Velasco K. 16. Deyverson	1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 4. Jimenez J. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 27. Mohor J. 5. Estacio J. 16. Cazares J. 28. Campana A. I. 15. Tello M. 20. Viera M. 9. Posse F.
Substitutes
13. Corozo J. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 22. Dominguez A. (G) 11. Estrada M. 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 99. Luna Tobar C. 3. Mina R. 33. Quinonez L. 31. Rodriguez J. 7. Rodriguez L. 44. Segovia L. 26. Zambrano I.	13. Ayala M. 50. Caicedo C. 52. Coello B. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 11. Espinoza T. 21. Etchebarne S. 22. Ferro L. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 10. Miranda M.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Sanguinetti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Sanguinetti G. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Posse F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Velasco K. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
57', Alvarado A. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
66', Tello M. ↓, Etchebarne S. ↑,
72', Cornejo F. ↓, Gonzalez Baquero S. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Pretell J. ⚽, Ade R. (A),
75', 1 - 2, Viera M. ⚽,
78', Campana A. I. ↓, Klinger J. ↑,
78', Viera M. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
84', Mohor J. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 2.

LDU Quito has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Macará shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, LDU Quito has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this matchup, LDU Quito is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, LDU Quito has recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:22 (averaging 1.7:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for LDU Quito against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:9 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	34	19	6	9	47:35	12	63
4	LDU Quito	34	15	8	11	37:29	8	53

Last Results with these Odds

LDU Quito - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.61%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.10.26	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.26	LDU Quito - Palmeiras	3:3 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.09.26	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWLT
- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.10.26	Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Deportivo Macará - Emelec	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.07.26	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	1:0
01.03.26	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	0:2
30.08.25	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	1:1
10.05.25	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	0:1
04.08.24	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	0:4
04.03.24	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	2:1
22.10.22	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	0:5

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