Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 30

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Moreira E. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Macará		Emelec

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.20	4.10
	1.78	3.25	4.3	Watch
	1.82	3.45	4.82
	1.84	3.34	4.55	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.75
	1.78	3.37	4.71	Watch
	1.78	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.97)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	4.54 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
51.7%

Draw
27.9%

Emelec
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Deportivo Macará - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Emelec (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Emelec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 4. Jimenez J. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 27. Mohor J. 16. Cazares J. 28. Campana A. I. 5. Estacio J. 15. Tello M. 20. Viera M. 9. Posse F.	1. Valero M. (G) 13. Gomez L. 27. Leon F. (C) 2. Leguizamon A. 4. Segura E. 32. Valverde J. 6. Griffith V. 19. Ruiz J. 8. Napoli G. 15. Fragozo L. 9. Carrillo R.
Substitutes
13. Ayala M. 50. Caicedo C. 30. Chamba T. 52. Coello B. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 11. Espinoza T. 22. Ferro L. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 19. Ramos P.	11. Arce T. 17. Ayovi J. 90. Bores E. (G) 21. Cevallos J. 26. Cuero I. 80. Herrera O. 5. Mina A. 16. Quintero S. 59. Saya R. 51. Valencia S. 24. Viteri A.
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.	Medran E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Griffith V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Griffith V. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
46', Napoli G. ↓, Saya R. ↑,
50', Carrillo R. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Campana A. I. ⚽,
66', Fragozo L. ↓, Arce T. ↑,
66', Ruiz J. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
73', Viera M. ↓, Klinger J. ↑,
77', Segura E. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
81', Tello M. ↓, Medranda M. ↑,
81', Campana A. I. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
87', Bolanos D. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

Macará is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 2.

Macará has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Emelec is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Macará is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	43:34	9	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.09.26	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Deportivo Macará - Manta	4:3 ✺
30.08.26	Orense - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Deportivo Macará - Santos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLT
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.09.26	Emelec - Manta	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Libertad Loja - Emelec	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Emelec - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	LDU Quito - Emelec	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.26	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	2:0
08.12.25	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	0:2
02.11.25	Deportivo Macará - Emelec	3:0
29.06.25	Deportivo Macará - Emelec	1:1
28.02.25	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	0:0
09.11.24	Deportivo Macará - Emelec	1:1
18.05.24	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	0:1

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