Match Info

Date: 23 November 2020, Monday


	Deportivo Macará		LDU Portoviejo

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	7	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.4	3.95	6.75	Watch
	1.45	4.1	6.2
	1.48	4.12	7.67
	1.42	4	7.5	Watch
	1.46	4.45	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.44)	4.12 ↓ (4.19)	6.9 ↑ (6.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
64.2%

Draw
22.4%

LDU Portoviejo
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

22.1%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

12.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

LDU Portoviejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-28.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Macará that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Portoviejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Macará - LDU Portoviejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16).

Recent matches Macará is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

LDU Portoviejo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Macará is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Macará won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.11.20	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
14.11.20	Deportivo Macará - Orense	0:1 ✺
10.11.20	Delfín - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
05.11.20	Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa	0:3 ✺
02.11.20	Deportivo Macará - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLT
- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Orense	1:2 ✺
15.11.20	Independiente del Valle - LDU Portoviejo	2:3 ✺
11.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Emelec	0:6 ✺
07.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
31.10.20	Delfín - LDU Portoviejo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.09.20	LDU Portoviejo - Deportivo Macará	2:2

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