Match Info

Date: 15 November 2020, Sunday


	Independiente del Valle		LDU Portoviejo

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.25	5.5	8.75
	1.25	5.2	8.5	Watch
	1.23	5.6	9.4
	1.27	5.94	10.15
	1.24	5.25	11	Watch
	1.25	6.05	10.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)	5.47 ↑ (4.71)	9.72 ↑ (7.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
73.6%

Draw
16.9%

LDU Portoviejo
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

19.6%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.4%

16.7%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.

LDU Portoviejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	4%	28%

Independiente del Valle - LDU Portoviejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 17 - 68%). LDU Portoviejo will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16).

Recent matches Independiente del Valle is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

LDU Portoviejo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Independiente del Valle is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente del Valle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.11.20	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	2:0 ✺
05.11.20	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1 ✺
31.10.20	Universidad Católica - Independiente del Valle	3:1 ✺
25.10.20	Olmedo - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.10.20	Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLW
- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Emelec	0:6 ✺
07.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
31.10.20	Delfín - LDU Portoviejo	4:2 ✺
25.10.20	LDU Portoviejo - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 ✺
19.10.20	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Portoviejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.09.20	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente del Valle	1:2

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