Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	LDU Portoviejo		Emelec

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.5	3.7	1.83
	3.6	3.65	1.83
	3.55	3.5	1.88
	3.84	3.8	1.91
	3.8	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.8	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (4.06)	3.64 ↓ (3.84)	1.86 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Portoviejo
25%

Draw
25.4%

Emelec
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

24.1%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

19.5%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Portoviejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Portoviejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

LDU Portoviejo - Emelec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).

LDU Portoviejo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Emelec is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Emelec could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Emelec is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches LDU Portoviejo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
31.10.20	Delfín - LDU Portoviejo	4:2 ✺
25.10.20	LDU Portoviejo - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 ✺
19.10.20	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Portoviejo	2:1 ✺
15.10.20	LDU Portoviejo - El Nacional	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.11.20	Emelec - Universidad Católica	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.11.20	Emelec - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.11.20	SD Aucas - Emelec	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.10.20	Unión Santa Fe - Emelec	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.10.20	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.08.20	Emelec - LDU Portoviejo	2:1

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