Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo (Pelileo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Chacaritas		Imbabura

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.11	3.3	2.25
	3.58	3.15	2.09	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.38
	3.08	3.34	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.5)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.21 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
29.7%

Draw
28.5%

Imbabura
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chacaritas's form might have worsened.

Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Imbabura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chacaritas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Imbabura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chacaritas - Imbabura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Alcivar J. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Valencia K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 2 - 1, Martinez S. ⚽,
57', 2 - 2, Benalcazar C. ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, Burbano D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chacaritas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Imbabura - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.08.25	Chacaritas - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	1:3 ✺
31.07.25	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
22.07.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	3:0 ✺
15.07.25	Chacaritas - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 TWTLW
- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
15.08.25	Leones del Norte - Imbabura	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Imbabura - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
06.08.25	Imbabura - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.07.25	Independiente Juniors - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
03.06.25	Imbabura - Chacaritas	4:1
27.03.25	Chacaritas - Imbabura	1:1
20.09.23	Chacaritas - Imbabura	1:2
03.08.23	Imbabura - Chacaritas	0:1
17.05.23	Chacaritas - Imbabura	2:5
26.03.23	Imbabura - Chacaritas	1:2
20.09.22	Imbabura - Chacaritas	1:0

Chacaritas - Imbabura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide