Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 27

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Chile	16:30	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	15:30	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	15:30	Zapping Sports
Usa	16:30	SportsEngine Play


	Orense		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.20	3.00	3.00
	2.05	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.16	3.28	3.59
	2.24	3.18	3.3	Watch
	2.11	3.2	3.55
	2.09	3.31	3.46	Watch
	2.05	3.15	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.54)	3.18 ↑ (3.15)	3.39 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orense
43.7%

Draw
29%

Deportivo Macará
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

29.5%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

30.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orense's performance.

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Macará might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Macará could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Orense - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Macará (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Macará (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 31. Velasco P. (C) 6. Callegari S. 4. Quinonez S. 15. Caicedo B. 13. Mena A. 14. Pluas E. 30. Burgoa V. 11. Herrera A. 10. Parrales M. 19. Bermudez M.	1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 27. Mohor J. 16. Cazares J. 28. Campana A. I. 5. Estacio J. 15. Tello M. 20. Viera M. 9. Posse F.
Substitutes
24. Achilier G. 23. Chuchuca W. 53. Garces L. 50. Hernandez E. 25. Jaramilo R. 57. Mairongo S. 26. Molina N. 51. Ortiz C. 2. Quinonez B. 21. Rostagno G. 58. Toledo G. (G) 88. Valencia J.	13. Ayala M. 50. Caicedo C. 23. Caicedo Nestor 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 19. Ramos P.
Coaches
Robles A.	Sanguinetti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Campana A. I. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Campana A. I. ⚽, Posse F. (A),
34', Bolanos D. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Callegari S. 🟨,
60', Velasco P. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
60', Bermudez M. ↓, Chuchuca W. ↑,
63', Tello M. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
63', Campana A. I. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Quinonez B. ⚽,
74', Quinonez S. ↓, Achilier G. ↑,
74', Burgoa V. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
77', Viera M. ↓, Klinger J. ↑,
77', Mohor J. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
81', Ortiz C. 🟨,
84', Pluas E. ↓, Molina N. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3.

Recent form of Orense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Macará has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Orense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Orense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	34	19	6	9	47:35	12	63

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.08.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Delfín - Orense	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Libertad Loja - Orense	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Orense - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLL
- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.08.26	Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Deportivo Macará - Santos	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.08.26	Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Santos - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.08.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.05.26	Deportivo Macará - Orense	1:2
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Orense - Deportivo Macará	0:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.06.25	Orense - Deportivo Macará	1:0
15.02.25	Deportivo Macará - Orense	1:0
27.09.24	Orense - Deportivo Macará	1:0
13.04.24	Deportivo Macará - Orense	0:0
16.07.22	Orense - Deportivo Macará	1:1

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