Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)


	Deportivo Madryn		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.75
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.91	3.05	4
	2.04	3.1	3.5
	2.06	2.99	4.22
	2.05	2.9	3.7
	2.01	3.16	3.58	Watch
	2.07	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.41)	3.09 ↓ (4)	3.74 ↓ (7.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
45.5%

Draw
29.8%

Sacachispas
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

22.7%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21.8%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Madryn's form might have worsened.

Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sacachispas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+21.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sacachispas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.6%	25%	21.4%

Deportivo Madryn - Sacachispas Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Sacachispas will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Madryn: 35.1% – 72.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 36 in the zone Relegation).

Deportivo Madryn has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sacachispas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Deportivo Madryn is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.09.22	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Deportivo Madryn - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:3 ✺
12.09.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Madryn	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
07.09.22	Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.09.22	Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.09.22	Sacachispas - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Temperley - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
12.09.22	Sacachispas - Deportivo Flandria	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
29.08.22	Sacachispas - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTL

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