Match Info

Date: 4 July 2021, Sunday


	Deportivo Maipú		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.5	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.5
	2.8	2.95	2.5	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.6
	2.84	3.12	2.69
	2.7	2.9	2.6	Watch
	2.76	3.04	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	2.98 (2.98)	2.57 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
33.3%

Draw
30.8%

Belgrano
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

31.1%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

22.2%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Maipú that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Maipú - Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).

Deportivo Maipú is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Belgrano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.06.21	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
23.06.21	Deportivo Maipú - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
17.06.21	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Maipú	1:2 ✺
10.06.21	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	1:2 ✺
17.05.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLT
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.06.21	Belgrano - Temperley	2:1 ✺
22.06.21	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
17.06.21	Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
10.06.21	Deportivo Riestra - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
08.05.21	Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLTL

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