Match Info

Date: 17 June 2021, Thursday


	Belgrano		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.4
	2.25	2.85	3.3	Watch
	2.21	2.9	3.3
	2.31	3	3.6
	2.2	2.8	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.72	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.05)	2.9 ↑ (2.87)	3.45 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
41.5%

Draw
31.8%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

31.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

21.5%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belgrano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Belgrano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gimnasia Mendoza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Belgrano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.06.21	Deportivo Riestra - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
08.05.21	Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
02.05.21	Almirante Brown - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
25.04.21	Belgrano - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
19.04.21	Chacarita Juniors - Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLTL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.06.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
16.05.21	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
10.05.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Nueva Chicago	0:1 ✺
03.05.21	Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:4 ✺
26.04.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLWL

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