Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 21

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)


	Deportivo Maldonado		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.05	4.25
	1.76	3.27	4.98
	2.07	2.58	4.91	Watch
	1.77	3.58	4.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.1)	3.12 ↑ (2.93)	4.65 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
50.2%

Draw
29.8%

Uruguay Montevideo
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

30.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Maldonado's performance.

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uruguay Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Maldonado that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Deportivo Maldonado - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Maldonado will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.09.25	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLLW
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.09.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:4 ✺
07.09.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Artigas	1:4 ✺
29.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.06.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:3

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