Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 22Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Oriental de La Paz |
|
Deportivo Maldonado |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.88 |
2.88 |
2.42 |
|
 |
3.09 |
2.94 |
2.46 |
|
 |
2.80 |
3.06 |
2.56 |
 Watch |
 |
2.83 |
2.83 |
2.48 |
|
 |
2.55 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.5) |
2.98 ↓
(3.15) |
2.5 ↓
(2.53) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Oriental de La Paz
32.5% | Draw
30.8% | Deportivo Maldonado
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-2.3%)Oriental de La Paz - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 74', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6).Oriental has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Maldonado's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Oriental de La Paz - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.99%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Deportivo Maldonado - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 06.07.25 | Deportivo Maldonado - Oriental de La Paz | 3:0 | | 12.04.25 | Oriental de La Paz - Deportivo Maldonado | 0:0 |
|
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