Match Info
Copa Uruguay - Round 1Date: 9 September 2026, WednesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 South-america | DGO Latin America |
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Deportivo Maldonado |
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Montevideo Wanderers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.46 |
4.00 |
5.50 |
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 |
1.57 |
3.45 |
5.20 |
 Watch |
 |
1.68 |
3.69 |
4.66 |
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 |
1.64 |
3.85 |
4.57 |
Watch |
 |
1.62 |
3.6 |
4.45 |
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 |
1.61 |
3.6 |
4.94 |
Watch |
 |
1.61 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.7) |
3.68 ↑
(3.35) |
4.85 ↑
(4.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Deportivo Maldonado
56.7% | Draw
24.6% | Montevideo Wanderers
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Araujo A. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 0, Fernandez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 81', 3 - 0, Centeno B. ⚽,
- 87', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+2', 4 - 1, Tormo S. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 1.Maldonado is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Wanderers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Maldonado is seen as the favorite.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Primera Division | | | 05.09.26 | Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers | 2:0 | | 24.05.26 | Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado | 1:1 | | 06.03.26 | Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado | 0:0 | | 20.09.24 | Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers | 1:3 | | 27.07.24 | Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado | 1:0 | | 11.03.24 | Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado | 0:0 | | 15.11.23 | Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers | 3:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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