Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Winston Pineda (Jutiapa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Claro Sports
Venezuela	Inter


	Deportivo Achuapa		Deportivo Xinabajul

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.54	3.7	5.6
	1.61	3.7	5.77	Watch
	1.61	3.7	5.25
	1.53	3.74	5.61
	1.54	3.7	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.61)	3.69 ↑ (3.64)	5.47 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Achuapa
58.5%

Draw
24.8%

Deportivo Xinabajul
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24.2%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Achuapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Deportivo Xinabajul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Xinabajul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 14. Aguilar K. 32. Cabral A. 16. Castrillo C. 30. Corado J. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 21. de Leon I. 91. Matta A. 9. Maziero A. 23. Ramirez D. 99. Zuniga J.	12. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 88. Alvarado C. 17. Aquino D. 20. Baltazar Y. 7. Ceballos M. 32. Gonzalez F. 18. Jucup N. 8. Ubico J. 5. Vasquez E. 23. Yori E. 11. Zuniga E.
Substitutes
19. Betancourt S. 7. Fajardo W. 10. Molina A. 8. Navas K. 13. Orellana H. (G) 11. Porras A. 5. Salazar J. 20. Sanchez E. 33. Vasquez T.	10. Chavasco G. 26. Elington E. . Gomez F. 70. Hernandez Y. 29. Lopez D. 6. Marroquin E. 1. Tatuaca L. (G) 15. Trigueros W. 2. Velasquez K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Vasquez E. 🟨,
30', Corado J. 🟨,
44', Yori E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ramirez D. ↓, Fajardo W. ↑,
46', Zuniga E. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
46', Vasquez E. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
57', Corado J. ↓, Vasquez T. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Vasquez T. ⚽,
67', Ceballos M. ↓, Chavasco G. ↑,
74', Aquino D. ↓, Elington E. ↑,
74', Ubico J. ↓, Marroquin E. ↑,
79', Elington E. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Elington E. ⚽,
88', Matta A. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
89', de Leon I. ↓, Navas K. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Achuapa won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Achuapa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Achuapa is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Achuapa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Achuapa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.03.25	Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal	1:1 ✺
05.03.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	0:3 ✺
01.03.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Antigua GFC	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Cobán Imperial	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LTWWL
- Deportivo Xinabajul
Guatemala Liga Nacional
13.03.25	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Marquense	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Comunicaciones	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
30.01.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Achuapa	2:1
23.09.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:1
28.03.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0
02.11.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Achuapa	1:2
19.04.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1
22.02.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	4:2
16.10.22	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:2

Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Xinabajul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide