Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán (Mixco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala


	Deportivo Mixco		Mictlán

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.9	6.1
	1.55	3.75	6.3
	1.52	3.91	6.38	Watch
	1.44	3.5	7
	1.57	3.66	6.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)	3.74 ↑ (3.73)	6.41 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Mixco
61.1%

Draw
24.6%

Mictlán
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

24.6%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

22%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mictlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Mixco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Deportivo Mixco - Mictlán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Moscoso K. (G) 10. Arce G. 18. Bolanos J. . Garcia E. 32. Gonzalez F. 99. Martinez N. 3. Moreno M. 11. Pozuelos Y. 16. Urizar J. 37. Yanes A. 19. Zuniga E.	1. Faust J. (G) 22. Colon S. 26. Escobar J. 29. Fajardo W. 30. Folleco R. 3. Herrarte J. 7. Herrarte K. 21. Meza P. 44. Ramirez W. 31. Rivas B. 19. Salguero O.
Substitutes
2. Flores N. . Gonzalez A. 26. Jerry 15. Marroquin R. 5. Mendez D. 23. Padilla M. (G) 29. Quinones E. 9. Rocha K.	. Chavasco G. . Cuque D. . Figueroa J. (G) . Lemus M. . Martinez C. . Menendez B. . Monroy E. . Rigoberto R. D. . Tobar E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Martinez N. ⚽,
23', Fajardo W. 🟨,
27', Meza P. 🟨,
37', Colon S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rivas B. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
46', Herrarte K. ↓, Chavasco G. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Colon S. ⚽,
60', Reyes Gonzalez E. J. ↓, Jerry ↑,
60', Arce G. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
66', Garcia E. ↓, Quinones E. ↑,
66', Pozuelos Y. ↓, Rocha K. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Colon S. ⚽,
69', Colon S. ↓, Lemus M. ↑,
71', Zuniga E. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
80', Fajardo W. ↓, Rigoberto R. D. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Rocha K. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).

Mixco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mictlán has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mixco is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mixco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mixco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Deportivo Mixco	11	6	0	5	19:17	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.02.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Marquense - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Mixco	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Deportivo Mixco - Cobán Imperial	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLTWT
- Deportivo Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.02.26	Mictlán - Marquense	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Comunicaciones - Mictlán	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Cobán Imperial - Mictlán	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Mictlán - Deportivo Achuapa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.10.25	Deportivo Mixco - Mictlán	2:1
17.08.25	Mictlán - Deportivo Mixco	0:0

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