Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Asuncion (Asuncion Mita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala


	Mictlán		Marquense

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.85
	1.65	3.57	5.51	Watch
	1.62	3.25	5
	1.6	3.4	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	5.22 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mictlán
55.9%

Draw
26.7%

Marquense
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

26.7%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

25.7%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mictlán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mictlán - Marquense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mictlán will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mictlán (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Faust J. (G) 80. Chavasco G. 22. Colon S. 26. Escobar J. 29. Fajardo W. 30. Folleco R. 3. Herrarte J. 7. Herrarte K. 77. Lemus M. 34. Monges R. 24. Ramirez K.	1. Colli J. (G) 80. Amaya W. 29. Casas D. 17. Chuc D. 8. Escobar M. 13. Estrada C. . Lopez C. . Mencia R. 11. Navarro A. 99. Rodas M. 2. Vasquez E.
Substitutes
88. Chinchilla C. 13. Figueroa J. (G) . Martinez C. . Menendez B. 21. Meza P. 28. Monroy E. . Rigoberto R. D. 31. Rivas B. 19. Salguero O.	5. Cano J. 7. Ceballos M. . de Leon C. 20. Elington E. 18. Escobar J. 19. Joj J. 52. Sosa M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Fajardo W. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Colon S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Escobar M. ↓, Joj J. ↑,
54', Vasquez E. 🟨,
56', Colon S. ↓, Chinchilla C. ↑,
57', Herrarte K. ↓, Rigoberto R. D. ↑,
58', Chavasco G. 🟨,
64', 🟨,
67', Chavasco G. ↓, Monroy E. ↑,
68', Lemus M. ↓, Salguero O. ↑,
69', 🟨,
72', Chuc D. 🟨,
82', Chinchilla C. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Casas D. ⚽,
88', Amaya W. ↓, de Leon C. ↑,
90+1', Lopez C. 🟨,
90+2', Fajardo W. ↓, Menendez B. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 2.

Mictlán has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marquense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marquense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mictlán is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mictlán won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 0.9:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Marquense	12	6	1	5	13:15	-2	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.02.26	Comunicaciones - Mictlán	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Cobán Imperial - Mictlán	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Mictlán - Deportivo Achuapa	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Malacateco - Mictlán	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.02.26	Marquense - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Xelajú - Marquense	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Comunicaciones - Marquense	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Marquense - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Cobán Imperial - Marquense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
08.11.25	Mictlán - Marquense	1:1
06.09.25	Marquense - Mictlán	1:0
30.04.17	Mictlán - Marquense	1:0
05.03.17	Marquense - Mictlán	0:0
09.11.16	Mictlán - Marquense	2:0
18.09.16	Marquense - Mictlán	3:0
24.04.16	Mictlán - Marquense	0:0

Upcoming Matches