Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada (San Marcos)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Claro Sports 2 Latin America, ViX Latin America


	Marquense		Deportivo Mixco

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	2.98
	2.42	2.9	3.18
	2.62	2.95	2.87	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3.1
	2.43	2.94	3.14	Watch
	2.36	2.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.05)	2.85 ↓ (2.9)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marquense
37.8%

Draw
32.2%

Deportivo Mixco
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

30.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Marquense - Deportivo Mixco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Marquense (1.35) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marquense (votes: 1 - 50%). Mixco (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colli J. (G) 80. Amaya W. 29. Casas D. 17. Chuc D. 18. Escobar J. 13. Estrada C. 79. Linton O. . Lopez C. . Mencia R. 99. Rodas M. 2. Vasquez E.	30. Moscoso K. (G) . Aldo L. 10. Arce G. 32. Gonzalez F. 3. Moreno M. 11. Pozuelos Y. 29. Quinones E. 9. Rocha K. 33. Sotomayor J. 37. Yanes A. 19. Zuniga E.
Substitutes
5. Cano J. 7. Ceballos M. 4. Cifuentes A. 20. Elington E. . Fuentes F. 19. Joj J. 11. Navarro A. 14. Ruiz A. 52. Sosa M. (G)	18. Bolanos J. . Gonzalez O. 26. Jerry 61. Lemus K. 99. Martinez N. 5. Mendez D. . Moreira M. 23. Padilla M. (G) 16. Urizar J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', Mencia R. 🟨,
20', 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Chuc D. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Quinones E. ⚽,
32', Linton O. 🟥,
33', 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Casas D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez C. ↓, Navarro A. ↑,
46', Aldo L. ↓, Jerry ↑,
57', Chuc D. 🟨,
59', Quinones E. ↓, Martinez N. ↑,
59', Zuniga E. ↓, Lemus K. ↑,
64', Yanes A. ↓, Urizar J. ↑,
68', Amaya W. ↓, Cano J. ↑,
70', Pozuelos Y. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
73', 🟨,
79', Sotomayor J. 🟨,
85', Escobar J. ↓, Cifuentes A. ↑,
88', Cifuentes A. ↓, Joj J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 1.

Recent form of Marquense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Mixco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marquense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Marquense	12	6	1	5	13:15	-2	19
6	Deportivo Mixco	11	6	0	5	19:17	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.02.26	Xelajú - Marquense	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Comunicaciones - Marquense	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Marquense - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Cobán Imperial - Marquense	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Marquense - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLW
- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
14.02.26	Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Mixco	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Deportivo Mixco - Cobán Imperial	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Deportivo Mixco - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.11.25	Marquense - Deportivo Mixco	1:2
12.09.25	Deportivo Mixco - Marquense	1:0
09.03.25	Marquense - Deportivo Mixco	1:1
22.01.25	Deportivo Mixco - Marquense	2:3
26.10.24	Deportivo Mixco - Marquense	0:0
09.08.24	Marquense - Deportivo Mixco	2:0

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