The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marquense 56.6%
Draw 25.1%
Deportivo Mixco 18.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.4%
27.3%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
26.3%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marquense's performance.
Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Mixco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marquense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Mixco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marquense - Deportivo Mixco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez G. (G) 17. Chuc D. 19. Escalante F. 9. Grande D. 70. Hernandez Y. 79. Linton O. 24. Lopez C. 11. Ochaeta D. 99. Rodas M. 66. Santos C. 5. Vasquez E.
30. Moscoso K. (G) 18. Bolanos J. 21. Can J. 17. Cuero Fabian 15. Gomez M. 26. Jerry 6. Jimenez C. 14. Marroquin R. 3. Moreno M. 11. Pozuelos Y. 37. Yanes A.
Substitutes
6. Cano J. 13. Cifuentes J. (G) 2. Corado Ruano R. E. 30. de L. B. 20. Gordillo G. 91. Matta A. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 18. Sanchez E. 8. Velasquez E.
10. Arce G. . Garcia 12. Marquez J. 99. Martinez N. 5. Mendez D. 23. Padilla M. (G) 22. Rocha K. 16. Urizar J. 19. Zuniga E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Jimenez C. ⚽,
26', Santos C. 🟨,
39', Yanes A. 🟥,
43', (Penalty Awarded),
44', Can J. ↓, Mendez D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodas M. ↓, Corado Ruano R. E. ↑,
46', Lopez C. ↓, Ramirez K. G. A. ↑,
46', Gomez M. ↓, Rocha K. ↑,
68', Escalante F. ↓, Velasquez E. ↑,
68', Ochaeta D. ↓, Matta A. ↑,
69', Matta A. 🟨,
71', Rocha K. 🟨,
77', Pozuelos Y. ↓, Martinez N. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Sanchez E. ⚽,
83', Jerry ↓, Urizar J. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 6th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Marquense may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Marquense is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Marquense has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:10 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Marquense against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).