Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 11

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Deportivo Mixco		Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.5	4.9
	1.47	3.75	6.2
	1.47	3.64	5.8
	1.43	4.1	7	Watch
	1.47	3.75	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.96)	3.72 ↑ (3.17)	5.93 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Mixco
60.6%

Draw
24.2%

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

27%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Mixco's performance.

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Mixco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Deportivo Mixco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mixco will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Santa Lucía will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Deportivo Mixco will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Mixco won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Mixco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.03.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Mixco	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
22.02.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Deportivo Mixco - Cobán Imperial	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTLWT
- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.03.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Iztapa	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
22.02.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
15.02.23	Antigua GFC - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.11.22	Deportivo Mixco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	0:0
28.08.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Mixco	1:1

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