The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Morón 55%
Draw 28.3%
Club Almagro 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
28.4%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
27%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Deportivo Morón - Club Almagro Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 2. Salvareschi B. 3. Livera J. 4. Iniguez E. 6. Cardozo L. 5. Burruchaga M. 7. Fagundez F. 8. Kubiszyn S. 10. Olivares J. 11. Bittolo M. 9. Levato M.
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 2. Cortave M. 3. Silcan E. 4. Asis G. 6. Vitale J. 5. Marchioni J. 8. Salto C. 10. Bustamante F. 11. Macies T. 7. Orlando J. 9. Martinez E.
Substitutes
19. Berterame G. 16. Contreras E. 12. Diaz F. (G) 13. Flores F. 17. Franco E. 18. Gonzalez G. 14. Lazza E. 20. Toloza F. 15. Vaquero I. M.
17. Bustos J. 20. De La Vega F. 19. Dornell T. 16. Fernandes J. 14. Flores J. 18. Lopez T. 12. Mangudo F. (G) 13. Negro B. 15. Tolosa N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Iniguez E. ⚽, Livera J. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Levato M. ⚽, Fagundez F. (A),
18', Cortave M. 🟨,
32', Bittolo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez E. ↓, De La Vega F. ↑,
46', Salto C. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
46', Bustamante F. ↓, Tolosa N. ↑,
46', Fagundez F. ↓, Berterame G. ↑,
59', Olivares J. 🟨,
61', Vitale J. 🟨,
65', Bustos J. 🟨,
69', Bittolo M. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
69', Levato M. ↓, Toloza F. ↑,
71', Orlando J. ↓, Dornell T. ↑,
72', Macies T. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
77', Olivares J. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
87', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Lazza E. ↑,
88', Silcan E. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Deportivo Morón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Deportivo Morón is the team to beat.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Morón won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Club Almagro - the odds 5.61 are the expected chance of winning is 16.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.