Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 17

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Iván Elías Moreno (Lima)


	Deportivo Municipal		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.85	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.88
	3.7	3.6	1.95	Watch
	4.3	3.43	1.87
	3.5	3.6	1.85
	3.94	3.7	1.86	Watch
	3.6	3.55	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.35)	3.53 ↑ (3.26)	1.88 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Municipal
24.4%

Draw
26.3%

Cienciano
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28.3%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

27.7%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cienciano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Deportivo Municipal - Cienciano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Solis C. (G) 26. Toledo J. 3. Rugel L. 15. Cavagna F. 22. Cespedes J. 10. Perez Garcia M. 97. Cabrera F. 19. Correa Vilela E. I. 14. Nunes J. 77. Olascuaga 32. Erustes P.	12. Nolasco J. (G) 17. Garro L. 3. Aparicio K. 2. Evangelista F. 16. Santillan I. 13. Beltran C. 14. Torrejon C. 19. Quintero A. 55. Ramua A. 8. La Torre D. 21. Garces C.
Substitutes
12. Fuentes A. (G) 16. Galvez del Cuadro S. 13. Moyano D. 30. Ortega Barquero F. A. 39. Rodriguez F. 21. Romero J. 37. Vega C. 36. Yanez A.	38. Blumen E. 23. Cana D. (G) 9. Carando D. 99. Colunga N. 91. Cordova Y. 33. Gonzalez G. 6. Ojeda A. 31. Quintana A. 27. Rodriguez R.
Coaches
Acasiete S.	Ibanez Holzmann O. M.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 1.

Municipal is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cienciano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cienciano is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Municipal won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
29.09.23	Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Municipal	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Deportivo Municipal - Cusco	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal	5:1 ✺
16.09.23	Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo	0:3 ✺
10.09.23	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Municipal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLL
- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
30.09.23	Cienciano - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano	0:3 ✺
20.09.23	Cienciano - ADT Tarma	2:2 ✺
15.09.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
09.09.23	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
26.05.23	Cienciano - Deportivo Municipal	1:0
15.07.22	Deportivo Municipal - Cienciano	0:0
12.02.22	Cienciano - Deportivo Municipal	4:2
02.08.21	Cienciano - Deportivo Municipal	2:3
25.08.20	Deportivo Municipal - Cienciano	0:1
03.11.15	Deportivo Municipal - Cienciano	1:0
02.08.15	Cienciano - Deportivo Municipal	3:1

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