Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 15

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Iván Elías Moreno (Lima)


	Deportivo Municipal		Cusco

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.48	Watch
	2.91	3.15	2.52
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.85	3.32	2.44	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.32)	3.18 ↓ (3.38)	2.44 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Municipal
33%

Draw
29.1%

Cusco
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

27.7%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.4%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cusco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	17.6%	47.1%

Deportivo Municipal - Cusco Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Cusco will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cusco: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Solis C. (G) 36. Yanez A. 35. Ampuero A. 3. Rugel L. 5. Ciucci E. 22. Cespedes J. 10. Perez Garcia M. 18. Flores C. 14. Nunes J. 77. Olascuaga 32. Erustes P.	1. Ferreyra D. (G) 77. Estrada J. 8. Quina N. 33. Benincasa H. 24. Gordillo A. 13. Barreto G. 23. Guivin Tanta J. 31. Arakaki Chinen H. E. 17. Da Luz M. 11. Rodriguez V. F. J. 22. Olivares C.
Substitutes
97. Cabrera F. 15. Cavagna F. 19. Correa Vilela E. I. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 16. Galvez del Cuadro S. 13. Moyano D. 30. Ortega Barquero F. A. 39. Rodriguez F. 37. Vega C.	4. Alonso F. 5. Aucca M. 6. Ayarza A. 2. Bilbao J. 30. Cantoro T. 25. Hermoza E. (G) 35. Morales J. 19. Uribe C. 21. Yovera F.
Coaches
Acasiete S.	Flores L.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 1.

Municipal has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cusco is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Municipal won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
20.09.23	Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal	5:1 ✺
16.09.23	Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo	0:3 ✺
10.09.23	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Municipal	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Boys	0:3 ✺
20.08.23	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Municipal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
21.09.23	Cusco - Atlético Grau	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Cusco - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cusco	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Cusco - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
05.05.23	Cusco - Deportivo Municipal	1:0
18.10.21	Cusco - Deportivo Municipal	3:5
15.05.21	Deportivo Municipal - Cusco	1:1
10.11.20	Deportivo Municipal - Cusco	1:1
13.10.20	Cusco - Deportivo Municipal	1:1
25.10.19	Cusco - Deportivo Municipal	1:0
12.05.19	Deportivo Municipal - Cusco	1:1

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