Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 16

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Iván Elías Moreno (Lima)


	Deportivo Municipal		Sport Huancayo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	4	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	2.02	3.4	3.5
	1.99	3.4	3.53
	2.05	3.3	3.2
	2.01	3.6	3.55	Watch
	2.04	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.13)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)	3.48 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Municipal
46.3%

Draw
27.1%

Sport Huancayo
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Sport Huancayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Municipal - Sport Huancayo Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Municipal will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 0.

Municipal is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Huancayo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Huancayo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Municipal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Municipal won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
15.05.23	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Municipal	2:1 ✺
05.05.23	Cusco - Deportivo Municipal	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Deportivo Municipal - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWTL
- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1
12.05.23	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	5:1 ✺
06.05.23	Sport Huancayo - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	1:3 ✺
16.04.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sport Huancayo	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
28.09.22	Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Municipal	2:1
08.05.22	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Huancayo	0:1
23.09.21	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Huancayo	2:2
12.03.21	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Huancayo	0:1
23.10.20	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Huancayo	0:0
16.02.20	Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Municipal	1:1
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
04.09.19	Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Municipal	4:0

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