Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 14

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Iván Elías Moreno (Lima)


	Deportivo Municipal		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.3	4.4
	1.7	3.45	4.85
	1.75	3.51	4.94
	1.7	3.4	4.5
	1.73	3.7	4.8	Watch
	1.77	3.45	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)	3.47 ↓ (3.55)	4.75 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Municipal
53.8%

Draw
26.7%

Cajamarca
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

25.5%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Municipal: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cajamarca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Municipal is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Municipal won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
24.04.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Deportivo Municipal - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	0:2 ✺
31.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TLWTW
- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
21.04.23	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cajamarca	1:1 ✺
27.03.23	Cajamarca - Cusco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
04.10.22	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	1:2
14.05.22	Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal	4:3
17.07.21	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	1:1
09.02.20	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	0:0
20.10.19	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	0:0
04.05.19	Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal	2:2
28.10.18	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	0:1

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