Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 15

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)


	Cusco		Deportivo Municipal

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	5.75	Watch
	1.5	3.8	5.25
	1.53	4.1	5.8
	1.53	4.05	5.65
	1.52	3.7	5.8
	1.55	4.15	5.85	Watch
	1.54	4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)	4 ↑ (3.7)	5.64 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
60.5%

Draw
23.1%

Deportivo Municipal
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.7%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.9%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Cusco - Deportivo Municipal Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Municipal will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cusco won 1.

Cusco is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Municipal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Cusco is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cusco won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Cusco won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
29.04.23	Atlético Grau - Cusco	3:0 ✺
23.04.23	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	ADT Tarma - Cusco	0:2 ✺
07.04.23	Cusco - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	FBC Melgar - Cusco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWWT
- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
30.04.23	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Deportivo Municipal - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	0:2 ✺
31.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
18.10.21	Cusco - Deportivo Municipal	3:5
15.05.21	Deportivo Municipal - Cusco	1:1
10.11.20	Deportivo Municipal - Cusco	1:1
13.10.20	Cusco - Deportivo Municipal	1:1
25.10.19	Cusco - Deportivo Municipal	1:0
12.05.19	Deportivo Municipal - Cusco	1:1
03.10.18	Cusco - Deportivo Municipal	3:3

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