Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 6

Date: 1 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Iván Elías Moreno (Lima)


	Deportivo Municipal		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.85
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.44	3.26	2.88
	2.38	3.1	2.75
	2.42	3.22	3	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.19)	3.24 ↓ (3.29)	2.89 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Municipal
39.3%

Draw
28.6%

ADT Tarma
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.4%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Deportivo Municipal - ADT Tarma Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 5 - 50%). ADT will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Municipal: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 35. Ampuero A. 36. Yanez A. 3. Rugel L. 30. Ortega Barquero F. A. 18. Flores C. 10. Perez Garcia M. (C) 77. Olascuaga 39. Rodriguez F. 19. Correa Vilela E. I. 32. Erustes P.	1. Barrios I. (G) 7. Saba E. 24. Rizzo G. 16. Choi G. 14. Silvera M. 11. Alfageme A. 17. Velarde C. 26. Serna K. 10. Cedron V. 21. Perlaza V. 89. Posito J.
Substitutes
23. Cabrera E. 97. Cabrera F. 16. Galvez del Cuadro S. 13. Moyano D. 34. Panduro M. 21. Romero J. 33. Solis C. (G) 26. Toledo J. 37. Vega C.	46. Aguero J. 30. Diaz P. (G) 29. Falconi J. 28. Gamero Y. 4. Gutierrez E. 3. Inga C. 23. Mimbela W. 22. Morales D. 20. Moreno K.
Coaches
Castillo R.	Navarro F.

Preview

Recent matches Municipal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ADT is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Municipal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
24.07.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Municipal	4:1 ✺
17.07.23	Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
25.06.23	Unión Comercio - Deportivo Municipal	1:3 ✺
10.06.23	Cantolao - Deportivo Municipal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWW
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
23.07.23	ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
15.07.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - ADT Tarma	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	ADT Tarma - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0 ✺
22.06.23	FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma	4:0 ✺
10.06.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
26.02.23	ADT Tarma - Deportivo Municipal	3:0
27.07.22	Deportivo Municipal - ADT Tarma	1:0
27.02.22	ADT Tarma - Deportivo Municipal	2:3

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