Match Info

NICARAGUA: Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 20 November 2024, Wednesday


	Deportivo Ocotal		Sport Sébaco

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.35
	2.6	3.35	2.4
	2.65	3.49	2.49	Watch
	2.61	3.48	2.54
	2.6	3.35	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.13)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	2.44 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Ocotal
35.4%

Draw
27%

Sport Sébaco
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.4%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.2%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Ocotal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Ocotal's performance.

Sport Sébaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Sébaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Ocotal than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Ocotal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Sébaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Ocotal - Sport Sébaco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Fuentes R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Edwin Castro 🟥,
84', 0 - 2, Corrales D. ⚽,
89', 0 - 3, Castillo E. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ocotal
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
17.11.24	Deportivo Ocotal - UNAN Managua	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Rancho Santana - Deportivo Ocotal	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Real Estelí	3:4 ✺
26.10.24	Municipal Jalapa - Deportivo Ocotal	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Matagalpa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLL
- Sport Sébaco
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
07.11.24	Sport Sébaco - Matagalpa	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Diriangén - Sport Sébaco	3:0 ✺
06.10.24	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Rancho Santana - Sport Sébaco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
22.09.24	Sport Sébaco - Deportivo Ocotal	4:0
24.04.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Sport Sébaco	3:0
09.03.24	Sport Sébaco - Deportivo Ocotal	2:3
12.11.23	Sport Sébaco - Deportivo Ocotal	3:1
13.09.23	Deportivo Ocotal - Sport Sébaco	1:3
13.04.23	Deportivo Ocotal - Sport Sébaco	0:0
16.02.23	Sport Sébaco - Deportivo Ocotal	1:4

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