Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Walter Ferretti		Sport Sébaco

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.33
	1.85	3.3	3.7	Watch
	1.44	4.07	6.52
	1.74	3.62	4.55	Watch
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.92	3.42	3.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.94)	3.66 ↑ (3.55)	4.77 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walter Ferretti
55.3%

Draw
25.3%

Sport Sébaco
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

25.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walter Ferretti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Walter Ferretti's performance.

Sport Sébaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Sébaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Walter Ferretti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Sébaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Walter Ferretti (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Walter Ferretti (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Walter Ferretti (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, ⚽,
55', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walter Ferretti won 1.

Recent form of Walter Ferretti has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sport Sébaco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Walter Ferretti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Walter Ferretti has had a series of home games.

Walter Ferretti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Walter Ferretti won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Walter Ferretti won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 2.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sport Sebaco	9	3	2	4	9:17	-8	11
8	Ferretti	10	2	2	6	14:18	-4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Walter Ferretti
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
01.03.26	Real Madriz - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Walter Ferretti - UNAN Managua	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Municipal Jalapa	0:0 ✺
18.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Matagalpa	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Real Estelí	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWTLL
- Sport Sébaco
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
28.02.26	Sport Sébaco - Managua	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Matagalpa - Sport Sébaco	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	4:1 ✺
18.02.26	Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Diriangén - Sport Sébaco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
31.01.26	Sport Sébaco - Walter Ferretti	1:0
05.10.25	Sport Sébaco - Walter Ferretti	2:1
26.07.25	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	4:2
04.05.25	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	2:3
02.03.25	Sport Sébaco - Walter Ferretti	1:0
18.01.25	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	3:0
30.11.24	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	1:0

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