The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Paraguayo 23.4%
Draw 32.6%
Mercedes 44%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.6%
31%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
32%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Paraguayo's form might have worsened.
Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mercedes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Paraguayo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mercedes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Sanchez Olmos L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 1, Ortiz R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Paraguayo won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Deportivo Paraguayo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Mercedes holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Paraguayo has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:10 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Paraguayo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 0:4 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Paraguayo - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 33.62%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
Mercedes - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.36%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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