Match Info

Liga Women - Round 13

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata (Barrancabermeja)


	Alianza Valledupar		Inter Palmira

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.9	1.81
	3.62	3.68	1.81
	3.54	3.86	1.83	Watch
	3.64	3.64	1.82
	3.45	3.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.51)	3.8 ↑ (3.32)	1.82 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
25.8%

Draw
24%

Inter Palmira
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

27.5%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Inter Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Palmira than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Alianza Valledupar - Inter Palmira Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diaz D. (G) 4. Osuna L. 3. Ramos T. 8. Cabrales V. 18. Vera H. 24. Gallego M. 20. Mendivelso N. 6. Sandoval A. 10. Constante S. 14. Diaz H. 28. Jaimes F.	12. Aguilar A. (G) 15. Caicedo A. 3. Rubio J. 8. Ordonez A. 6. Ruiz D. 7. Castro A. 16. Montano L. 19. Hoyos A. 9. Marquinez M. 10. Sanchez I. 20. Sanchez Y.
Substitutes
11. Florez M. 99. Garrido E. 5. Gomez L. 21. Granados K. 30. Perez E. 2. Saldarriaga L. 26. Saravia A. (G)	17. Arias Y. 22. Cortes Rodriguez K. D. (G) 5. Guzman D. 26. Marquinez K. 25. Meneses A. 11. Perez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Marquinez M. ⚽, Ordonez A. (A),
33', Mendivelso N. ↓, Garrido E. ↑,
45+3', Gallego M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Castro A. ↓, Arias Y. ↑,
46', Hoyos A. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
63', Ramos T. ↓, Saldarriaga L. ↑,
64', Perez L. ↓, Marquinez K. ↑,
68', Sanchez I. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Garrido E. ⚽, Constante S. (A),
75', Osuna L. ↓, Florez M. ↑,
84', Vera H. ↓, Granados K. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Marquinez M. ⚽,
90+13', Caicedo A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

Alianza has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Inter Palmira is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Inter Palmira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alianza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Alianza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar Women
Colombian Liga Women
17.05.25	Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla	2:5 ✺
21.04.25	Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Inter Palmira Women
Colombian Liga Women
17.05.25	Inter Palmira - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Inter Palmira - Independiente Medellín	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Millonarios - Inter Palmira	1:1 ✺
28.04.25	Inter Palmira - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Junior Barranquilla - Inter Palmira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
20.05.24	Alianza Valledupar - Inter Palmira	1:0

Alianza Valledupar - Inter Palmira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide