Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Pasto		América de Cali

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.88	3	Watch
	2.52	2.88	3.05	Watch
	2.56	2.93	3.21
	2.48	2.97	3.1	Watch
	2.5	2.75	3
	2.51	2.84	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3)	2.88 ↑ (2.75)	3.08 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
37.1%

Draw
32.5%

América de Cali
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

33.1%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

32.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pasto's performance.

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América de Cali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Pasto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América de Cali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). América de Cali will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - América de Cali (2.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). América de Cali (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Banguera G. (G) 3. Jimenez M. S. 2. Torijano F. (C) 5. Gil N. 21. Velasco E. 8. Serje Orozco E. C. 6. Caicedo J. 23. Goez Y. 10. Chavez D. 29. Cordoba S. 11. Estupinan A.	1. Jean (G) 28. Mina L. M. 22. Hernandez N. 3. Rosero D. 30. Bertel O. 11. Machis D. 6. Cavadia J. 23. Sierra C. (C) 19. Palacios J. 9. Valencia D. 10. Guzman Y.
Substitutes
16. Gil M. 27. Goyes H. 1. Herrerin I. (G) 15. Mancilla H. 13. Martinez F. 19. Morelo W. 32. Pisano M. 22. Tolosa Y. 35. Valois Y.	21. Angel T. 35. Angulo K. 8. Borrero D. 16. Correa B. 5. Escobar J. 17. Lucumi J. 25. Romero J. 12. Soto J. (G) 2. Torres M.
Coaches
Risueno J.	Gonzalez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Estupinan A. ⚽, Serje Orozco E. C. (A),
25', Velasco E. 🟨,
25', Machis D. 🟨,
31', Velasco E. 🟨,
35', Chavez D. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
37', Rosero D. 🟨,
39', Mina L. M. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Cordoba S. ⚽, Gil N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sierra C. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
46', Rosero D. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
46', Palacios J. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
56', Escobar J. 🟨,
62', Cavadia J. ↓, Angel T. ↑,
62', Machis D. ↓, Borrero D. ↑,
70', Goez Y. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
70', Estupinan A. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
70', Cordoba S. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
71', Serje Orozco E. C. 🟨,
88', Banguera G. 🟨,
90', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
90+5', Caicedo J. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

América de Cali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America De Cali	12	8	3	1	24:7	17	27
18	Dep. Pasto	12	2	3	7	9:18	-9	9

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Pasto - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.39%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
01.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:2 ✺
20.02.26	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Pasto - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Llaneros SA - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTWT
- América de Cali
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
28.02.26	Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	América de Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
18.02.26	Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	América de Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
24.09.25	Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali	0:2
08.02.25	América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto	1:1
07.11.24	Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali	3:1
18.04.24	América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto	0:0
30.07.23	América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto	1:1
04.02.23	Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali	2:4
23.11.22	Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali	1:0

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