The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Recoleta 35.2%
Draw 28.4%
Rubio Ñu 36.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.7%
27.9%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
27.3%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Rubio Ñu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Toledo O. (G) 2. Echeguren Zarza F. A. 5. Marotta N. 32. Monzon L. 18. Rios P. 36. Ferreira B. 6. Espinola J. 21. Garay C. (C) 33. Gonzalez A. 25. Martino R. 11. Parzajuk K.
25. Fragueda F. (G) 13. Cabanas V. 3. Vallejos J. (C) 5. Alvarez Benitez P. 19. Garrone M. 23. Leiva T. 15. Nunez C. 26. Fretes S. 29. Alfonso O. 35. Montiel L. 9. Ruiz Diaz R.
Substitutes
17. Baez W. 20. Canete M. 3. Cardozo L. 30. Charpentier P. 7. Dominguez R. 12. Ferreira N. (G) 8. Galeano F. 15. Medina B. 4. Pereira M. 31. Schupp M. 10. Silva A. 24. Vidal T.
18. Acosta M. 7. Alfonso E. 36. Gimenez C. 16. Gonzalez J. 27. Ledesma A. 32. Maldonado L. (G) 10. Mendieta W. 20. Paez A. 17. Paredes K. 40. Perez E. 14. Ramos M. 8. Rojas R.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.
Torrente J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Parzajuk K. 🟨,
30', Garay C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Monzon L. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
46', Echeguren Zarza F. A. ↓, Medina B. ↑,
46', Parzajuk K. ↓, Baez W. ↑,
63', Garay C. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
66', Alfonso O. ↓, Rojas R. ↑,
66', Montiel L. ↓, Gimenez C. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Martino R. ⚽, Baez W. (A),
70', Garrone M. 🟥,
72', Fretes S. ↓, Alfonso E. ↑,
72', Leiva T. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
73', Ruiz Diaz R. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
82', Nunez C. 🟨,
87', Espinola J. ↓, Dominguez R. ↑,
90+4', Martino R. 🟨,
90+5', Fragueda F. 🟥,
90+6', Cabanas V. 🟨,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 11th and 10th).
Recent results have been tough for Recoleta (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Rubio Ñu have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Recoleta has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:5 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Recoleta against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).