Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter


	Deportivo Riestra		Deportivo Armenio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.61	3.7	6	Watch
	1.57	3.83	5.96
	1.59	3.69	6.09	Watch
	1.56	3.6	6.11	Watch
	1.61	3.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.36)	3.65 ↓ (4.63)	5.9 ↓ (8.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
58.7%

Draw
25.5%

Deportivo Armenio
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

20.3%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

19.2%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Riestra's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Armenio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Riestra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Armenio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 15. Sansotre N. 24. Mino F. 22. Paz C. 13. Gallo R. 5. Ramirez P. 35. Sanchez B. 27. Goitia J. 8. Celiz M. 7. Alonso A. 20. Diaz A.	1. Nistal N. (G) 4. Cardozo I. 2. Segovia I. 6. Echeverria J. 3. Perez I. 8. Almanza F. 5. Sica N. 10. Barrionuevo D. 7. Maldonado G. 11. Herrera Jonathan N. 9. Montero S.
Substitutes
17. Aiello M. 32. Benegas N. 36. Bracamonte M. 10. Bravo G. 3. Caro Nicolas 21. Dalbon J. 26. Fagundez F. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 40. Obredor G. 23. Ramirez M. 19. Randazzo J. 28. Sayavedra R.	15. Avalos S. 16. Gerez R. 12. Ghergo T. (G) 20. Giacomini R. 14. Gomez C. 17. Jerez T. 23. Luna T. 21. Medina L. 18. Motta F. 13. Rodriguez C. 22. Venetucci V. 19. Villalva L.
Coaches
Benitez G.	Fuentes C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Sica N. ⚽, Almanza F. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Sanchez B. ⚽, Gallo R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barrionuevo D. ↓, Luna T. ↑,
46', Montero S. ↓, Venetucci V. ↑,
46', Diaz A. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
58', Mino F. ↓, Bravo G. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Maldonado G. ⚽,
65', Echeverria J. 🟨,
65', Goitia J. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
66', Maldonado G. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
76', Herrera Jonathan N. ↓, Medina L. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Ramirez P. ⚽,
88', Paz C. 🟨,
89', Sanchez B. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
89', Sansotre N. ↓, Bracamonte M. ↑,
90+1', Luna T. ↓, Motta F. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Almanza F. (Pen),
1, Benegas N. (Pen),
2, Perez I. (Pen),
2, Bracamonte M. (Pen),
3, Cardozo I. (Pen),
3, Fagundez F. (Pen),
4, Medina L. (Pen),
4, Ramirez P. (Pen),
5, Motta F. (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Riestra is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.05.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	Deportivo Riestra - Godoy Cruz	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Independiente - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTTL
- Deportivo Armenio
Argentinian Primera B
18.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
09.05.25	Excursionistas - Deportivo Armenio	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - Acassuso	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Deportivo Armenio - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
27.03.16	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Riestra	0:1
03.11.15	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Armenio	2:0
13.06.15	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Riestra	3:2

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