Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo (San Cristóbal)

Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Germany	Sportdigital+
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Peru	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	beIN Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+


	Deportivo Táchira		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	8	4	1.45	Watch
	7	4.33	1.43
	7.5	4.2	1.45	Watch
	8.14	4.1	1.46	Watch
	7	4.33	1.4	Watch
	8.43	4.05	1.46	Watch
	7.5	4.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.65 ↑ (6.44)	4.17 ↓ (4.18)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Táchira
12.3%

Draw
22.5%

Flamengo
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

22.6%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

22%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Deportivo Táchira - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Flamengo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Táchira (votes: 1 - 50%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Camargo J. (G) 2. Vivas C. 22. Maidana M. 13. Camacho P. (C) 18. Rosales R. 44. Tamiche E. 24. Requena J. 15. Cova M. 8. Saggiomo D. 10. Sosa C. 7. Castillo B.	1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 5. Pulgar E. 18. de la Cruz N. 7. Luiz Araujo 11. Everton 30. Michael 27. Bruno Henrique (C)
Substitutes
1. Araque A. (G) 17. Balza J. 20. Calzadilla C. 9. Cano L. 19. Castillo J. 11. Diaz D. 37. Duarte Arias J. D. 5. Fioravanti L. 33. Hernandez N. 21. Ortiz J. 4. Quintero J. 32. Sanchez J.	26. Alex Sandro 29. Allan 33. Cleiton 51. Daniel Sales 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 52. Evertton Araujo 61. Joao Victor 79. Joshua 23. Juninho 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Perez Greco E.	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Rosales R. 🟨,
45+1', Cova M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Michael ↓, Juninho ↑,
56', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Alex Sandro ↑,
56', de la Cruz N. ↓, Allan ↑,
56', Castillo B. ↓, Balza J. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽, Bruno Henrique (A),
70', Bruno Henrique ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
72', Cova M. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
80', Camacho P. 🟨,
80', Sosa C. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
81', Tamiche E. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
86', Everton ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
87', Requena J. 🟨,
90+5', Maidana M. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Deportivo Táchira is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flamengo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo Táchira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Flamengo is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.03.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	2:3 ✺
Venezuelan Super Cup
22.03.25	Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2 penalties ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.03.25	Deportivo Táchira - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo La Guaira	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Academia Anzoátegui - Deportivo Táchira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTWT
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.03.25	Flamengo - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWWW

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