What is the expert prediction for Estudiantes La Plata vs Flamengo?

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Estudiantes La Plata vs Flamengo Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, April 29, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 7
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Paramount+, RedeTV!, Sky+, TV Globo, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 7
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN 7
Greece	ERT Sports 2
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 7
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 7
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Estudiantes La Plata		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.25	Watch
	3.25	2.95	2.35
	3.45	2.98	2.22	Watch
	3.74	3.01	2.33
	3.58	3.01	2.27
	3.5	2.8	2.25	Watch
	3.67	3.04	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.12)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	2.28 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
26.7%

Draw
31.8%

Flamengo
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

32.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

32.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 32. Amondarain M. 8. Gabriel Neves 21. Piovi L. 11. Farias F. 10. Palacios T. 9. Carrillo G. (C)	1. Rossi A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 13. Danilo 44. Vitao 26. Alex Sandro 52. Evertton Araujo 21. Jorginho 7. Luiz Araujo 10. de Arrascaeta G. 16. Samuel Lino 27. Bruno Henrique (C)
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 17. Burgos J. 22. Castro A. 18. Cetre E. 26. Funes Mori R. 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 29. Perez Fabricio 7. Sosa J.	6. Ayrton Lucas 15. Carrascal J. 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 18. de la Cruz N. 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 11. Everton 3. Leo Ortiz 8. Niguez S. 9. Pedro 19. Plata G. 2. Varela G. 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Medina A.	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Palacios T. 🟨,
21', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Luiz Araujo ⚽, Bruno Henrique (A),
38', Farias F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Carrillo G. ⚽,
62', Medina A. 🟥,
62', Jardim L. 🟥,
62', Emerson Royal 🟨,
62', Palacios T. 🟨,
70', Luiz Araujo ↓, Plata G. ↑,
74', Farias F. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
74', Gabriel Neves 🟨,
81', Bruno Henrique ↓, Pedro ↑,
81', Samuel Lino ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
85', Piovi L. 🟨,
86', Gabriel Neves ↓, Castro A. ↑,
86', Carrillo G. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
87', Palacios T. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,

Preview

Estudiantes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flamengo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Estudiantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Flamengo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Flamengo: Lucas Paqueta (Muscle Injury) Pulgar E. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1.

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Last Results with these Odds

Flamengo - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.92%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Instituto Córdoba - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Cusco	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWT
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	0:4 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Flamengo - Bahia	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Flamengo - Independiente Medellín	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
25.09.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo	1:1 penalties
18.09.25	Flamengo - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1

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