The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Universitario 37.4%
Draw 31.3%
UMECIT 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28%
30.4%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
29.8%
42.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Universitario's performance.
UMECIT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UMECIT might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Universitario than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Universitario that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UMECIT could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Universitario - UMECIT Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. De la Cruz A. (G) 18. Acosta M. 27. Anderson I. 10. Bernal J. 25. De Los Rios A. 3. Gamboa C. 26. Gondola J. 20. Maltez U. 6. Matos J. 19. Simons J. 5. Tobon J.
1. Almengor D. (G) 21. Almanza O. 70. Anderson Gomez N. M. 20. Avila R. 23. Chanis E. 14. Ford R. 27. Garcia A. 22. Palmezano A. 7. Peralta H. 19. Saldana A. 47. Valderrama B.
Substitutes
23. Ampudia J. 1. Cao G. (G) 17. Diaz J. 22. Edmund D. 2. Garcia J. 31. Herrera R. 49. Jimenez R. 43. Quintero Y. 24. Rangel R.
26. Araya J. 37. Baron V. 62. Casazola M. 3. Delgado J. 77. Diaz A. 17. Edwards A. 67. Ledezma L. (G) 9. Murillo J. 92. Oliveira D. 11. Rodriguez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Anderson Gomez N. M. 🟨,
45', Simons J. 🟨,
45+4', Gamboa C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Simons J. ⚽,
55', Gamboa C. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Gondola J. ⚽,
61', Avila R. ↓, Oliveira D. ↑,
61', Palmezano A. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
67', Gondola J. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
67', Bernal J. ↓, Herrera R. ↑,
73', Anderson I. 🟨,
76', Valderrama B. 🟨,
78', Anderson I. ↓, Edmund D. ↑,
78', Anderson Gomez N. M. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
80', Peralta H. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
88', Garcia J. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Almanza O. ⚽,
90+1', Herrera R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CD Universitario won 2.
In recent outings, CD Universitario has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
UMECIT shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with CD Universitario holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, CD Universitario has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:9 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for CD Universitario against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 9:4 goals (averaging 1.5:0.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Universitario - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 27.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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De la Cruz A. (G) 
Tobon J. 
Cao G. (G) 
Oliveira D. 
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