Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Melloni M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Desenzano Calvina		Dolomiti Bellunesi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.00	3.25
	2.07	2.95	3.25	Watch
	2.17	3.12	3.66
	2.13	3.07	3.42	Watch
	2.12	3.05	3.50
	2.18	3.12	3.43	Watch
	2.12	3.10	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.71)	3.06 ↑ (2.97)	3.4 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
43.2%

Draw
29.9%

Dolomiti Bellunesi
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

31.2%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Desenzano Calvina's performance.

Dolomiti Bellunesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dolomiti Bellunesi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Desenzano Calvina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolomiti Bellunesi than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dolomiti Bellunesi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Desenzano Calvina - Dolomiti Bellunesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minelli S. (G) 70. Parlato M. 19. Pilati A. 6. Panelli T. 3. Giorgi L. 43. Lupano L. 15. De Francesco A. (C) 77. Liberati F. 24. Biondi K. 9. Santini C. 30. Procaccio A.	12. Sonzogni L. (G) 27. Saccani M. 23. Mondonico D. 24. Gobetti N. 5. Trabucchi N. 7. Cossalter T. (C) 42. Montenegro L. 25. Ba R. 10. Clemenza L. 20. Kowalski M. 9. Toci E.
Substitutes
20. Andreis D. 49. Baldi L. 12. Bastianoni F. (G) 23. Bono F. 22. Cassin M. (G) 7. Moscati M. 17. Onofrio S. 93. Reggiori P. 96. Russini S. 8. Tomaselli S. 34. Ubaldi L.	29. Abati L. (G) 8. Agosti L. 77. Beltaief Z. 49. Casanova K. 22. Coan F. (G) 99. Estrella Galeazzi F. 4. Lewis N. 3. Migliardi F. 30. Morreale M. 11. Sia D. 45. Zidouh T.
Coaches
Gaburro M.	Bonatti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, De Francesco A. ⚽,
19', Mondonico D. 🟨,
36', Gobetti N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Mondonico D. (Own goal),
56', Cossalter T. ↓, Sia D. ↑,
56', Clemenza L. ↓, Estrella Galeazzi F. ↑,
57', Mondonico D. ↓, Migliardi F. ↑,
62', Trabucchi N. 🟨,
63', Toci E. ↓, Beltaief Z. ↑,
74', Santini C. ↓, Ubaldi L. ↑,
74', Procaccio A. ↓, Russini S. ↑,
81', Gobetti N. ↓, Lewis N. ↑,
84', Lupano L. ↓, Andreis D. ↑,
84', Biondi K. ↓, Moscati M. ↑,
86', Russini S. 🟨,
90+1', Giorgi L. ↓, Reggiori P. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 9th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

Desenzano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Dolomiti Bellunesi has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Desenzano holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Desenzano	11	3	4	4	10:13	-3	13
17	Dolomiti Bellunesi	11	2	4	5	8:14	-6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie C Group A
03.10.26	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Desenzano Calvina - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
21.09.26	Treviso - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Desenzano Calvina - Lecco	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTTLW
- AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italian Serie C Group A
04.10.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Novara	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Brescia - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:1 ✺
21.09.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Lumezzane	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Renate - Dolomiti Bellunesi	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTLTT

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