Match Info
Serie D - Winners stage - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 24 May 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Desenzano Calvina |
|
Scafatese |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.88 |
3.15 |
|
 |
2.23 |
2.74 |
3.21 |
|
 |
2.36 |
2.64 |
3.43 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.23 |
2.88 |
3.28 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.65) |
2.81 ↓
(3.1) |
3.23 ↑
(2.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Desenzano Calvina
40.1% | Draw
32.1% | Scafatese
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Desenzano Calvina's performance.Scafatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scafatese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scafatese than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scafatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Desenzano Calvina - Scafatese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Gabbianelli G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', 1 - 1, Baldan M. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.Recent performances by Desenzano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Scafatese is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Desenzano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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