The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Desportivo Brasil 27.4%
Draw 31.8%
União Barbarense 40.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
29.5%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
28.2%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desportivo Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Brasil than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Desportivo Brasil - União Barbarense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Lu M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Kayo ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Recent form of Desportivo Brasil has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
União Barbarense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
União Barbarense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.