Match Info

National - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Dijon		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2.06	3.25	3.5
	2.02	3.35	3.73
	1.98	3.29	3.59	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.03	3.24	3.55	Watch
	2.06	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	3.55 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
45.4%

Draw
28.8%

Boulogne
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-1%)

Dijon - Boulogne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Delecroix P. (G) 32. Akakpo I. 5. Bernard Q. 23. Makutungu C. 27. Moco Z. 14. Marie J. 29. Gui D. 20. Vargas-Rios H. 11. Lembezat A. 9. Barka Y. 25. Duville-Parsemain A.	16. Pandor Y. (G) 12. Boyer J. 2. Gourville S. 23. Dabo E. 26. Thiam D. 27. Baala A. 20. Toure H. 8. Vercruysse J. 21. Hbouch A. 17. Fatou C. 11. Averlant T.
Substitutes
31. Aka Y. 2. Diallo I. 10. Ikanga J. 26. Meyer J. 8. Schur K.	22. Duflos S. 24. Epailly T. 32. Keita S. 15. Pinot A. 30. Uriev A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Hbouch A. ⚽, Boyer J. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Fatou C. ⚽, Boyer J. (A),
45+2', Marie J. 🟨,
45+3', Gourville S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gourville S. ↓, Pinot A. ↑,
56', Gui D. 🟨,
60', Akakpo I. 🟥,
63', 0 - 3, Vercruysse J. ⚽,
64', Fatou C. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
64', Barka Y. ↓, Ikanga J. ↑,
72', Baala A. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
75', Averlant T. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
75', Marie J. ↓, Meyer J. ↑,
75', Duville-Parsemain A. ↓, Schur K. ↑,
83', Gui D. ↓, Diallo I. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

Dijon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boulogne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dijon could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dijon: Camara I. (Muscle Injury) Djae A. (Inactive) Hamada B. (Inactive) Mendy E. (Injury) Moussa M. (Inactive) Poisson V. (Inactive) Souici R. (Hip Injury) Sylla M. (Injury) Titebah N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Boulogne: Gourville S. (Inactive) Kitenge C. (Injury) Lenogue X. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Paillard S. (Injury) Rambaud T. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dijon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Dijon - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
02.05.25	Châteauroux - Dijon	3:3 ✺
25.04.25	Sochaux - Dijon	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Dijon - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Versailles - Dijon	2:3 ✺
04.04.25	Dijon - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWL
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
02.05.25	Boulogne - Sochaux	2:3 ✺
25.04.25	Villefranche - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Boulogne - Versailles	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Concarneau - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Boulogne - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
17.01.25	Boulogne - Dijon	2:2

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