Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Referee: Toulliou W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Dijon		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.8
	2.45	3.1	2.88
	2.47	3.05	2.8
	2.66	3.08	3.01
	2.55	2.9	2.88	Watch
	2.58	3.04	2.91	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.46)	3.08 ↓ (3.11)	2.87 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dijon
36.9%

Draw
30.4%

Guingamp
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.9%	29%	29%

Dijon - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 13 - 41.9%). Guingamp will win (votes: 9 - 29%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 29%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 24.5% – 59.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 8).

Dijon has the most likely position - 16 (8.02%), has project points - 47, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Guingamp has the most likely position - 7 (7.55%), has project points - 54, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 34, small importance 23, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dijon won 2.

Dijon is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guingamp is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Dijon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
Coupe De France
29.10.22	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire - Dijon	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
22.10.22	Niort - Dijon	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Dijon - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Amiens - Dijon	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Dijon - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLT
- EA Guingamp
Coupe De France
30.10.22	Auray - Guingamp	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
22.10.22	Guingamp - Bastia	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Valenciennes - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Guingamp - Annecy	0:4 ✺
04.10.22	Guingamp - Rodez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
22.04.22	Dijon - Guingamp	3:3
03.12.21	Guingamp - Dijon	3:2
French Ligue 1
16.03.19	Guingamp - Dijon	1:0
05.12.18	Dijon - Guingamp	2:1
06.05.18	Dijon - Guingamp	3:1
09.12.17	Guingamp - Dijon	4:0
06.05.17	Guingamp - Dijon	4:0

Upcoming Matches