Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	15:00	Disney+
Armenia	22:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	19:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Sport 5
Canada	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	02:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:00	Disney+
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	20:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	19:00	Viaplay
Finland	20:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	19:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	19:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:00	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	20:00	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	19:00	Ligue 1+
Japan	03:00	DAZN Japan
Mexico	12:00	FOX One
Netherlands	19:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	19:00	Viaplay
Peru	13:00	Disney+
Poland	19:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV3
Russia	21:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	19:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	19:00	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
South Korea	03:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	19:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	19:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	18:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	14:00	Disney+
Vietnam	01:00	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	18:00	Onefootball


	Brest		Lorient

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.3
	2.38	3.15	3.2	Watch
	2.4	3.19	3.4
	2.34	3.18	3.21	Watch
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.35	3.07	3.58	Watch
	2.36	3.14	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.29)	3.12 ↑ (3.07)	3.32 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
40.8%

Draw
30.5%

Lorient
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.8%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

31.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.4%	17.9%	35.7%

Brest - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Lorient will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Lorient (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lorient (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Lorient (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lorient (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Lorient (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 27. Guindo D. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 19. Ajorque L.	16. Mvogo Y. (G) 32. Adjei N. 3. Talbi M. 5. Meite B. 11. Le Bris T. 62. Avom A. 6. Abergel L. (C) 43. Kouassi A. 17. Makengo J. 10. Pagis P. 12. Dieng B.
Substitutes
7. Dina Ebimbe J. 39. Lassus A. 71. Le Guen R. 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 24. Tousart L. 12. Zogbe L.	9. Bamba M. 8. Cadiou N. 2. Igor Silva 21. Kamara B. (G) 29. Karim D. 35. Leaudais L. 28. Soumano S. 15. Tosin A. 44. Yongwa D.
Coaches
Roy E.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Magnetti H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Labeau Lascary R. ⚽,
63', Dieng B. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
63', Makengo J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
64', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
73', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
74', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽,
80', Ajorque L. 🟨,
80', Avom A. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
83', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
90+2', Del Castillo R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 2.

Brest has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lorient is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lorient may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brest will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Injury) Coulibaly S. (Thigh Injury) Locko B. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Injury) Faye A. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brest won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Lorient	8	3	3	2	7:6	1	12
13	Brest	8	2	3	3	14:12	2	9

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lorient: 0.32% Brest: 0.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Nice - Brest	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Brest - Toulouse	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Lyon - Brest	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Brest - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Avranches - Brest	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWL
- FC Lorient
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Lorient - Nantes	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rennes - Lorient	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Monaco - Lorient	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Hauts Lyonnais - Lorient	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
19.10.25	Lorient - Brest	3:3
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Lorient - Brest	1:1
French Ligue 1
31.03.24	Lorient - Brest	0:1
20.12.23	Brest - Lorient	4:0
07.05.23	Lorient - Brest	2:1
09.10.22	Brest - Lorient	1:2
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Brest - Lorient	1:0

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