Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Dijon		Nice

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.8
	4.35	3.75	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.65	1.79
	4.5	3.89	1.84
	4.5	3.7	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.88	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (4.43)	3.77 ↓ (3.82)	1.79 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
21.4%

Draw
25.3%

Nice
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

24.9%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

22%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	8.1%	82.4%

Dijon - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: Nice will win (61 of 74 users predict this - 82.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.76% – 91.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2 and 9).

Dijon has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Nice has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Dijon has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nice is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Nice is a favorite.

Recent matches Nice is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 9 head-to-head matches Dijon won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 1
11.04.21	Monaco - Dijon	3:0 ✺
04.04.21	Olympique Marseille - Dijon	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Dijon - Reims	0:1 ✺
14.03.21	Dijon - Bordeaux	1:3 ✺
03.03.21	Brest - Dijon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
11.04.21	Nice - Reims	0:0 ✺
04.04.21	Nantes - Nice	1:2 ✺
20.03.21	Nice - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
14.03.21	Lorient - Nice	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
08.03.21	Nice - Monaco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
29.11.20	Nice - Dijon	1:3
21.09.19	Nice - Dijon	2:1
31.03.19	Dijon - Nice	0:1
25.08.18	Nice - Dijon	0:4
10.02.18	Dijon - Nice	3:2
05.11.17	Nice - Dijon	1:0
04.03.17	Dijon - Nice	0:1

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