Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Nantes		Nice

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.3
	2.68	3.35	2.62	Watch
	2.78	3.42	2.67
	2.77	3.37	2.53	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.5
	2.76	3.38	2.69	Watch
	2.8	3.33	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.05)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	2.56 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
34.5%

Draw
28.3%

Nice
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

27.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Nantes - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Nice will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 20.8% – 59.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Nice (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.21) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DC - Nantes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Nantes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Nice (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 3 - 60%). Nice (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (C) 98. Amian K. 78. Tati T. 6. Awaziem C. 80. Mwanga J. 3. Cozza N. 10. Abline M. 28. Sissoko I. 8. Lepenant J. 20. Cabella R. 31. Mostafa Mohamed	31. Dupe M. (G) 92. Clauss J. 28. Bah J. 37. Peprah K. 2. Abdi A. 24. Vanhoutte C. 99. Abdul Samed S. 25. Cho M. 8. Sanson M. (C) 10. Diop S. 11. Wahi E.
Substitutes
22. Acapandie M. 2. Ali Youssef 30. Carlgren P. (G) 52. Deuff B. 19. El Arabi Y. 37. Ganago I. 11. Guirassy B. 49. Kone J. 26. Radakovic U.	23. Bernardeau G. 32. Boudache K. 4. Dante 80. Diouf Y. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 90. Kevin 20. Louchet T. 33. Mendy A. 22. Ndombele T.
Coaches
Kantari A.	Puel C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
9', Lepenant J. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Cho M. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
17', Abdi A. 🟨,
29', 0 - 2, Cho M. ⚽, Sanson M. (A),
38', Abline M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 3, Diop S. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 3, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Awaziem C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
70', Diop S. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
70', Wahi E. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
81', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Dante ↑,
81', Sissoko I. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
86', Sanson M. 🟨,
87', Abline M. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
89', Cho M. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
89', Sanson M. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 4, Louchet T. ⚽, Ndombele T. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2.

Nantes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nice is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Boga J. (Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Moffi T. (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nantes: Centonze F. (Injury) Machado D. (Injury) Tabibou D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Nice: Bard M. (Groin Injury) Bernardeau G. (Inactive) Boudaoui H. (Inactive) Coulibaly D. (Inactive) Dante (Inactive) Diop S. (Injury) Diouf Y. (Inactive) Mendy A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Nice: 0.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
18.01.26	Nantes - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Concarneau - Nantes	3:5 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.12.25	Angers - Nantes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LLWWL
- OGC Nice
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Nice - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.01.26	Toulouse - Nice	5:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Nice - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Nice - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
11.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:2 penalties
French Ligue 1
13.09.25	Nice - Nantes	1:0
04.04.25	Nice - Nantes	1:2
20.10.24	Nantes - Nice	1:1
31.03.24	Nice - Nantes	1:2
02.12.23	Nantes - Nice	1:0
12.03.23	Nantes - Nice	2:2

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