Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Olympique Marseille		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	1.14	8.5	13	Watch
	1.19	7.75	13.5
	1.13	8.3	20	Watch
	1.15	8.86	16.92
	1.18	7.84	12.75	Watch
	1.17	7.5	13
	1.16	9.75	19.5	Watch
	1.13	8.3	20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.22)	8.35 ↑ (6.84)	16.08 ↑ (12.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
82.6%

Draw
11.4%

Montpellier
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.2%

13.9%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	7.7%	11.5%

Olympique Marseille - Montpellier Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Montpellier (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Marseille (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Marseille (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Montpellier (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rulli G. (G) 62. Murillo M. 19. Kondogbia G. 6. Garcia U. 44. Luis Henrique 23. Hojbjerg P. (C) 21. Rongier V. 3. Merlin Q. 10. Greenwood M. 25. Rabiot A. 9. Gouiri A.	40. Lecomte B. (C) 49. Ndollo Bille W. 47. Mouanga Y. 27. Omeragic B. 21. Mincarelli L. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 70. Coulibaly T. 12. Ferri J. 19. Nzingoula R. 18. Pays N. 41. Ndiaye J.
Substitutes
22. Bennacer I. 13. Cornelius D. 12. De Lange J. (G) 11. Harit A. 29. Lirola P. 8. Maupay N. 14. Moumbagna F. 26. Nadir B. 17. Rowe J.	16. Bertaud D. (G) 13. Chotard J. 22. Fayad K. 10. Khazri W. 4. Kouyate K. 14. Maamma O. 77. Sacko F. 11. Savanier T. 3. Sylla I.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Camara Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Greenwood M. (Pen),
15', Rongier V. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Ndollo Bille W. (Own goal),
65', Rongier V. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
65', Gouiri A. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Greenwood M. ⚽, Murillo M. (A),
72', Sainte-Luce T. ↓, Sylla I. ↑,
72', Ndiaye J. ↓, Chotard J. ↑,
72', Nzingoula R. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Rowe J. ⚽, Garcia U. (A),
78', Merlin Q. ↓, Harit A. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Mincarelli L. ⚽, Pays N. (A),
86', Luis Henrique ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
90', 5 - 1, Rabiot A. ⚽, Bennacer I. (A),
90+1', Pays N. ↓, Maamma O. ↑,
90+3', Mouanga Y. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 3.

Marseille is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montpellier has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marseille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marseille is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Knee Injury) Blanco R. (Ankle Injury) Mbemba Ch. (Inactive)

There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Ribs Injury) Issoufou Y. (Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Meite A. (Red Card) Sagnan M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Montpellier: Delort A. (Illness) Dzodic S. (Injury) Maamma O. (Coach's decision) Tchato E. (Thigh Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Marseille won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 38:20 (average 1.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:6 (average 2.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
12.04.25	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Olympique Marseille - Toulouse	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Reims - Olympique Marseille	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Olympique Marseille - Lens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
13.04.25	Angers - Montpellier	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Montpellier - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Montpellier - Le Havre	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Auxerre - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Lille - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
20.10.24	Montpellier - Olympique Marseille	0:5
25.02.24	Olympique Marseille - Montpellier	4:1
20.12.23	Montpellier - Olympique Marseille	1:1
31.03.23	Olympique Marseille - Montpellier	1:1
02.01.23	Montpellier - Olympique Marseille	1:2
10.04.22	Olympique Marseille - Montpellier	2:0
Coupe De France
29.01.22	Olympique Marseille - Montpellier	2:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches