Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Nantes		Dijon

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.7	4	4.75
	1.7	3.8	5	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.9
	1.74	3.88	5.2
	1.7	3.75	5	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.76)	3.84 ↑ (3.78)	4.94 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
55.9%

Draw
24.8%

Dijon
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

15.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dijon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	19.6%	21.6%

Nantes - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 30 - 58.8%). Dijon will win (votes: 11 - 21.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 45.3% – 72.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2).

Nantes has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dijon has a good chance of relegated (55%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dijon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nantes is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nantes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
06.12.20	Nantes - Strasbourg	0:4 ✺
28.11.20	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	3:1 ✺
25.11.20	Lens - Nantes	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Nantes - Metz	1:1 ✺
08.11.20	Lorient - Nantes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTTW
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 1
06.12.20	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Nice - Dijon	1:3 ✺
22.11.20	Dijon - Lens	0:1 ✺
08.11.20	Metz - Dijon	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Dijon - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.02.20	Dijon - Nantes	3:3
08.12.19	Nantes - Dijon	1:0
05.05.19	Nantes - Dijon	3:0
18.08.18	Dijon - Nantes	2:0
14.04.18	Nantes - Dijon	1:1
28.10.17	Dijon - Nantes	1:0
24.02.17	Nantes - Dijon	3:1

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