Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 14

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Dijon		Red Star

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.9	3.25	2.35	Watch
	2.99	3.25	2.52
	2.99	3.2	2.52
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.24	2.38	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.01)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.37 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
32.2%

Draw
28.8%

Red Star
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dijon's form might have worsened.

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dijon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Dijon - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Red Star will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 21. Ben Fredj M. 17. Chahid Y. 13. Cisse S. 20. Fdaouch Z. 23. Makutungu C. 25. Moco Z. 8. Schur K. 6. Souici R. 28. Soumare B. 5. Temanfo A. (C)	1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 11. Cisse K. 26. Dembi F. J. 13. Doucoure F. 7. Durand D. 8. Eickmayer J. 3. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 28. Kouagba L. 2. Meyapya B. 25. Ndoye C.
Substitutes
32. Ariss Z. 3. Congre D. 2. Fofana A. 33. Irie C. 11. Nassi W.	27. Anani A. 17. Botella I. 21. El Hriti A. 5. Gozzi P. 34. Sanghare S.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Dijon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Red Star is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Red Star could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dijon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
10.11.23	Orleans - Dijon	1:2 ✺
03.11.23	Dijon - Versailles	2:1 ✺
20.10.23	Nîmes - Dijon	0:0 ✺
11.10.23	Dijon - Épinal	4:1 ✺
06.10.23	Dijon - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTWT
- Red Star FC 93
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Châteauroux - Red Star	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
10.11.23	Red Star - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	2:1 ✺
06.11.23	Niort - Red Star	1:1 ✺
23.10.23	Red Star - Cholet	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Nancy - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.05.16	Red Star - Dijon	3:2
18.12.15	Dijon - Red Star	0:0

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