Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion (Mezőkövesdi)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)


	Dinamo Minsk		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	8	4.2	1.42	Watch
	7	4.75	1.43
	7	4.5	1.44	Watch
	7.45	4.72	1.43
	7	4.6	1.33
	7.7	4.88	1.42	Watch
	7	4.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.31 ↑ (4.85)	4.59 ↑ (3.63)	1.42 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Minsk
12.9%

Draw
20.5%

Anderlecht
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

26%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

25.3%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Minsk's form might have worsened.

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anderlecht's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Minsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anderlecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	10.4%	81.2%

Dinamo Minsk - Anderlecht Predictions

Users Predictions: Anderlecht will win (39 of 47 users predict this - 82.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.24% – 93.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pigas V. 67. Begunov R. 4. Gavrilovich A. 66. Rai 29. Amian B. 8. Selyava A. (C) 88. Demchenko N. 17. Bakhar I. 9. Alfred S. 19. Podstrelov D.	26. Coosemans C. (G) 25. Foket T. 13. Zanka 4. Simic J. 6. Augustinsson L. (C) 36. Dreyer A. 23. Rits M. 17. Leoni T. 29. Stroeykens M. 20. Vazquez L. 32. Angulo N.
Substitutes
14. Adeola R. 5. Apetenok P. 26. Kalinin V. 49. Karatai A. (G) 10. Khvashchinskiy V. 81. Melnichenko T. 27. Mikhayrin M. 74. Sedko P. 13. Shimakovich I. (G) 80. Shkolik I. 11. Zherdev G.	61. Arnstad K. 18. Ashimeru M. 12. Dolberg K. 55. Kana M. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 5. N'Diaye M. 54. Sardella K. 63. Vanhoutte T. (G) 10. Verschaeren Y.
Coaches
Skripchenko V.	Riemer B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Augustinsson L. ⚽, Rits M. (A),
42', Bakhar I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Begunov R. 🟨,
66', Leoni T. ↓, Ashimeru M. ↑,
66', Vazquez L. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
67', Podstrelov D. ↓, Zherdev G. ↑,
70', Zherdev G. 🟨,
72', Amian B. ↓, Shkolik I. ↑,
72', Bakhar I. ↓, Adeola R. ↑,
77', Alfred S. 🟨,
78', Angulo N. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
78', Foket T. ↓, Sardella K. ↑,
83', Alfred S. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion.

Recent matches Dinamo Minsk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Anderlecht in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Anderlecht is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dinamo Minsk
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Lincoln Red Imps - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
08.08.24	Dinamo Minsk - Lincoln Red Imps	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	Dinamo Minsk - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Minsk	2:0 ✺
16.07.24	Pyunik - Dinamo Minsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWLW
- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.08.24	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	1:3 ✺
10.08.24	Anderlecht - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.24	Anderlecht - Amiens	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWWW

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