Match Info

Super League - Round 7

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Bahrom Vafoev Stadium (Muborak)


	Mashal Mubarek		Surkhon Termez

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.1	1.88
	3.65	2.95	2.05
	3.86	3.11	2.06
	3.6	3.1	2.05
	3.43	3.3	2.06
	3.65	2.95	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (3.93)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)	2.03 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mashal Mubarek
25.1%

Draw
29.7%

Surkhon Termez
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.5%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.4%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mashal Mubarek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Mashal Mubarek - Surkhon Termez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khamroev U. (G) 6. Abdualimov J. 8. Abduraimov S. 15. Alikulov M. 9. Ganikhonov I. 20. Ismoilov E. 24. Mamatkhodzhaev A. 10. Murtazoev K. 22. Muzaffarov N. 96. Numonov I. 5. Ochilov S.	1. Potapov A. (G) 19. Abdurakhmonov M. 77. Karimov A. 3. Khamidzhonov S. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 9. Kolesnichenko K. 24. Komilov S. 88. Kratkov D. 6. Shamsiev B. 66. Shaydulov B. 7. Tursunov D.
Substitutes
7. Baratov I. 37. Fayziev S. 34. Juraev S. 17. Murodov A. 30. Norbekov S. 18. Rakhmatullaev D. 2. Salifu M. 19. Sharipov I. 12. Tukhtaboev D. (G)	18. Abdikholikov N. 14. Abdukhamidov S. 27. Jumaev A. 2. Karimov B. 11. Khaydarov A. 86. Merganov D. (G) 99. Poyonov S. 15. Ramazonov D. 26. Shukurullaev B.
Coaches
Alikulov A.	Davletov F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Komilov S. ↓, Abdikholikov N. ↑,
57', Karimov A. ↓, Jumaev A. ↑,
59', Khodzhaniyazov D. 🟨,
63', Abduraimov S. ↓, Sharipov I. ↑,
65', Abdurakhmonov M. ↓, Khaydarov A. ↑,
85', Kratkov D. ↓, Ramazonov D. ↑,
90+10', Murodov A. ↓, Fayziev S. ↑,
90+10', Khamroev U. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mashal won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Surkhon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Surkhon is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mashal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Mashal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mashal Mubarek
Uzbek League
19.04.25	Shurtan Guzar - Mashal Mubarek	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	Mashal Mubarek - Neftchi Fargona	1:4 ✺
06.04.25	Andijan - Mashal Mubarek	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek	5:0 ✺
29.03.25	Mashal Mubarek - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLLW
- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
21.04.25	Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Surkhon Termez - Kokand 1912	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Bunyodkor - Surkhon Termez	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Surkhon Termez - Xorazm Urganch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
27.11.21	Surkhon Termez - Mashal Mubarek	1:0
Uzbek Cup
17.08.21	Surkhon Termez - Mashal Mubarek	1:0
Uzbek League
30.07.21	Mashal Mubarek - Surkhon Termez	2:1
27.09.20	Mashal Mubarek - Surkhon Termez	0:1
15.06.20	Surkhon Termez - Mashal Mubarek	2:2
Uzbek Cup
29.05.18	Mashal Mubarek - Surkhon Termez	2:1 penalties

Mashal Mubarek - Surkhon Termez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide