Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Astana		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.83
	3.6	3.7	1.82
	3.75	3.75	1.9	Watch
	4.05	3.81	1.86
	4.06	3.81	1.86
	3.5	3.5	2
	3.94	3.78	1.84
	3.9	3.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.55)	3.75 ↑ (3.62)	1.88 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
24.5%

Draw
25.2%

Dinamo Zagreb
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

27%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Astana - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: Dinamo Zagreb will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Condric J. (G) 3. Haroyan V. 22. Marochkin A. 33. Tomasevic Z. 13. Hovhannisyan K. 8. Kuat I. (C) 29. Jovancic D. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 23. Ourega F. 88. Darboe D. 21. Astanov E.	1. Zagorac D. (G) 2. Moharrami S. 13. Ristovski S. 55. Peric D. 14. Ljubicic R. 31. Bulat M. 27. Misic J. 30. Kaneko T. 10. Baturina M. 72. Vidovic G. 9. Petkovic B. (C)
Substitutes
17. Aymbetov A. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 44. Loncar S. 31. Podymskiy D. (G) 20. Prokopenko V. 10. Tomasov M. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G) 97. Zhaksylykov N.	6. Bernauer M. 11. Emreli M. 23. Halilovic T. 17. Kulenovic S. 20. Marin A. 70. Menalo L. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 39. Perkovic M. 41. Rukavina G. 77. Spikic D. 25. Sucic P. 4. Sutalo B.
Coaches
Babayan G.	Jakirovic S.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dinamo Zagreb could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dinamo Zagreb have a series of guest games.

In this match Dinamo Zagreb is a favorite.

There will not play in Astana: Amanovic A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Kacavenda L. (Knee Injury) Stojkovic L. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Astana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Astana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Astana - Ballkani	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
29.10.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Ballkani - Astana	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
21.10.23	Astana - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Astana - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWWL
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
25.11.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Osijek	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Dinamo Zagreb	1:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
05.11.23	Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
01.11.23	Oriolik - Dinamo Zagreb	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Astana	5:1
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Astana - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2
25.07.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Astana	4:0
14.08.18	Dinamo Zagreb - Astana	1:0
07.08.18	Astana - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2

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